Another Year Ticked Off
Another year ticked off – but one that has made me feel a little older. Dan, my eldest son, has started his A-levels. Two years from now – gulp – I’ll be writing this wondering how the first term at university has changed him…
So I’d better crack on. But before I reflect on 2018, let me just look back to my last post of 2017. Here’s how I started on Friday, December 15th:
Well, we have a form of words. But as many commentators have already written, ‘Nothing is agreed until everything is agreed.’ No matter, the Brexit talks can stumble forward to the next hurdle…
Meanwhile Donald Trump has antagonised 95% of the world by recognising Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, Kim Jong-un is threatening to fire ICBMs on an almost daily basis, Germany doesn’t seem to have an effective government and China is threatening to take over the world. Oh, and the financial world will surely be rocked any day now when the Bitcoin bubble explodes.
Make plans for 2018? Only a madman would think of starting – or expanding – a business. Welcome to the madhouse.
What happened? Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un had a meeting, the Korean peninsula is being de-nuclearized, Germany has a government but Angela Merkel’s days are numbered, China is locked in a trade dispute with the US and Bitcoin has tumbled spectacularly.
In short, there has been change – just as there will always be change. And some of the people in the madhouse with me have done remarkably well in that year of change.
Where there does not seem to have been any change is the complete shambles that is the Brexit negotiations. Virtually everyone knows that I voted Remain in the 2016 Referendum. I didn’t agree with the result, but I believe in democracy so I accepted it. My feeling then was simple: ‘It’s not what I voted for but let’s get on with it and secure the best possible deal. And don’t take too long about it because I’ve got a business to build.’
What have we seen since? A textbook on ‘how not to lead and how not to negotiate’ being written in front of our eyes. There are three months to go to the date on which we – in theory – leave the EU and as I write (on Tuesday morning) our Prime Minister is scurrying back to Europe for what the papers describe as a ‘last throw of the dice,’ with the can labelled ‘make a decision’ kicked down the road, apparently until January 21st.
Obviously I have now had to do a quick edit, given the events of Wednesday – the perils of writing about live events – but I don’t think my fundamental point is changed. Leadership is a theme that always runs through this blog. What does a good leader need? Vision, courage and honesty. What did Mrs May display? None of the above.
…And that is a tragedy, because the message I want to leave you with over Christmas is simple: leadership is the key to prosperity. The 2018 Legatum Prosperity Index was released earlier this month – and the trends are positive. Global prosperity – which includes wealth, wellbeing and security – is at its highest since the think tank launched the Prosperity Index 12 years ago. The UK is up to 7th in the table – but the conclusion this year is stark and simple: continued prosperity depends on good leadership.
In my view, that applies whether we are talking about a country or a company.
The other week we had the whole of TAB UK together in Manchester. In the evening we took over a restaurant. There was a quiet moment when I looked around – and found myself marvelling at the sheer quality of the people in the room. Some I’ve known for a long time: some I’ve only just met this year. But looking around that restaurant I saw leaders. Leaders of businesses and leaders of communities – and I could not have been more confident of the future.
Sometimes you gain your confidence from looking at the numbers and the KPIs: sometimes you just need to look up from your meatballs and pork belly…
New Year Outlook
2018 has been my first full year as MD of TAB UK. Whatever success the company has enjoyed would not have happened without the wonderful team at Harrogate. I’ve said it many times but let me publicly place on record my thanks to Suzanne, Rena, Emma and Conor. And, of course, to Mags: Mags, the phrase ‘grace under pressure’ is oft-quoted and seldom appropriate, but over the last few days I have never seen it better exemplified.
So to all the team at Harrogate, thank you. It is a joy and a privilege to work with you all.
On a personal note 2018 has been a brilliant year. The highlight was our family holiday in California when Dan and Rory might have decided that well, you know, going on holiday with the old people might not be so bad after all. And, as above, Dan has embarked on his A-levels, after a stellar performance in his GCSEs.
So that’s it from the blog for this year, which will return on Friday January 11th. As always, thank you for sparing me five or ten minutes on a Friday morning to read my ramblings.
It only remains for me to wish you all a wonderful Christmas – and may the coming year bring everything you would wish for. 2019 will be the tenth year of The Alternative Board in the UK: stand by for fireworks…
By Ed Reid – TAB UK
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